Michael Samsa

Risk analyst
- Decision and Information Sciences

Michael Samsa is the Decision Support and Risk Management Group Leader in Argonne’s Decision and Information Sciences Division. He is responsible for the development and application of decision support systems and risk management techniques for a variety of public and private critical infrastructure clients. His interests include risk analysis and human judgment and decision making under uncertainty, such as in high consequence and low event base rate security environments.


Samsa is also a member of the Transportation Security Administration (TSA) Systems Analysis Working Group (SAWG), which was formed under a partnership between the Department of Homeland Security and the Department of Energy at the direction of the President in response to the 2009 Christmas Day bombing attempt of Northwest Airlines Flight 253. The work of the SAWG is part of a broad effort by TSA to improve current processes, procedures, technologies and resource utilization to reduce risks in a dynamic risk environment.


He led the development of EpiPOD, a community vaccination and dispensing software model that aids public health officials in planning and optimizing mass treatment operations. He has performed several mass vaccination clinic time-in-motion studies and counseled local and state public health officials on the optimum design of mass treatment processes.


Outside of public health, Samsa has also developed decision support tools for a broad range of critical infrastructures. He led Argonne’s efforts in the development of the Critical Infrastructure Protection Decision Support System (CIPDSS) for the U.S. Department of Homeland Security. This project created a risk-informed decision support system based on interdependent models of all critical U.S. infrastructures.


Prior to joining Argonne in 2002, Samsa was a member of the leadership team at Allegheny Energy Solutions, an unregulated energy services and commodity marketing subsidiary of Allegheny Energy. He also held various management and leadership positions in his 20 years with the Gas Research Institute (GRI) in Chicago. In these positions, he was responsible for overall corporate effectiveness in market, business, and financial evaluation for new product commercialization.

Awards, Honors, and Memberships

  • Member, Society for Risk Analysis
  • Member, INFORMS: The Institute for Operations Research and the Management Sciences
  • Member, National Defense Industrial Association
  • Member, Military Operations Research Society

Publications and Patents

  • Impact of Post-Event Avoidance Behavior on Commercial Facilities Sector Venues – Executive Brief, Samsa, M.E., et. al., Decision and Information Sciences Division, Argonne National Laboratory, (February, 2011)
  • Impact of Post-Event Avoidance Behavior on Commercial Facilities Sector Venues – Literature Review, Baldwin, T.E., Berry, M.S., Guzowski, L.B., Martinez-Moyano, I., Nieves, A.L., Ramaprasad, A., Samsa, M.E., Decision and Information Sciences Division, Argonne National Laboratory, ANL/DIS-11-2 (January 2011)
  • The Effect of Terrorism on Public Confidence: An Exploratory Study, Berry, M.S., Baldwin, T.E., Samsa, M.E., and Ramaprasad, A., Decision and Information Sciences Division, Argonne National Laboratory, ANL/DIS-08/6, (October 2008)
  • OPTUM: Optimum Portfolio Tool for Utility Maximization Documentation and User’s Guide, VanKuiken, J.C., Jusko, M.J., Samsa, M.E., Decision and Information Sciences Division, Argonne National Laboratory, ANL/DIL-08/8, (September 2008)
  • EpiPOD: Community Vaccination and Dispensing Model User’s Guide, Berry, M.S., Samsa, M.E., Walsh, D.M., Decision and Information Sciences Division, Argonne National Laboratory, ANL/DIS-08/8 (September 2008)
  • Critical Infrastructure Protection Decision Support System Decision Model: Overview and Quick-Start User’s Guide, Samsa, M.E., VanKuiken, J.C., Jusko, M.J., Decision and Information Sciences Division, Argonne National Laboratory, ANL/DIS-08/7 (September 2008)
  • CIPDSS-PST: CIPDSS Portfolio Selection Tool Documentation and User’s Guide, VanKuiken, J.C., Jusko, M.J., Samsa, M.E., Decision and Information Sciences Division, Argonne National Laboratory, ANL/DIL-08/4, (May 2008)
  • The Influence of Time-Dependent Factors in the Evaluation of Critical Infrastructure Protection Measures, W. Buehring and M. Samsa,  Decision and Information Sciences Division, Argonne National Laboratory, ANL/DIS-08/2 (March 2008)
  • Probabilistic Consequence Model of Accidental or Intentional Chemical Releases, YS Chang, M. Samsa, S. Folga, and H. Hartmann, Decision and Information Sciences Division, Argonne National Laboratory, ANL/DIS-08/3, (November 2007)
  • Potential for Compressed Natural Gas Vehicles in Centrally-Fueled Automobile, Truck and Bus Fleet Applications, M. E. Samsa, Gas Research Institute, GRI-91/0183, Chicago, IL (June 1991).
  • Industrial Natural Gas Markets:  Facts, Fallacies and Forecasts, M. E. Samsa, Gas Research Institute, GRI-88/0316, Chicago, IL (December 1988).
  • U. S. Plastics Industry:  Role and Opportunities for Natural Gas Technologies, M. E. Samsa and B. A. Hedman, Gas Research Institute, GRI-86/0096, Chicago, IL (April 1986).
  • Expansion Planning for Electrical Generating Systems -- A Guidebook, Section 7.3, “Value of Reliability”,  Technical Reports Series No. 241, International Atomic Energy Agency, Vienna (1984).
  • 1984 Appraisal Results Report, M. E. Samsa, Gas Research Institute, Chicago, IL (June 1983).
  • Results of Appraisal of the Proposed 1983 R&D Program, M. E. Samsa, Gas Research Institute, GRI-82/0011, Chicago, IL (May 1982).
  • Economic Market Analysis of an Emission Incentive Approach to Regulatory Reform, Volume III, Long-Run Marginal Cost of Control, M. E. Samsa, et. al., ETA Engineering, (May 1981).
  • Twin Cities/St. Cloud Regional Study, Volume II, Analysis of Alternative Energy and Economic Development Scenarios, M. E. Samsa, et. al., ETA Engineering, Inc., prepared for the National Commission on Air Quality (October 1980).
  • Twin Cities/St. Cloud Regional Study, Volume IV, Alternative Regulatory Policies, R. K. Raufer, M. E. Samsa, et. al., ETA Engineering, Inc., prepared for the National Commission on Air Quality (November 1980).
  • A Preliminary Assessment of the Satellite Power System (SPS) and Six Other Energy Technologies, T. D. Wolsko, M. E. Samsa, et. al., Energy and Environmental Systems Division, Argonne National Laboratory, ANL/AA-20 (April 1980).
  • Characterizations of Alternative Electric Generation Technologies for the SPS Comparative Assessment:  Vols. 1 and 2, Central Station Technologies, ANL/EES-TM-121 (August 1979).
  • Selection of Alternative Central-Station Technologies for the Satellite Power System (SPS) Comparative Assessment, M. E. Samsa, Energy and Environmental Systems Division, Argonne National Laboratory, prepared for the U.S. Department of Energy, DOE/ER-0052 (April 1980).
  • A Methodology for the Comparative Assessment of the Satellite Power System (SPS) and Alternative Technologies, T. D. Wolsko, M. E. Samsa, et. al., Energy and Environmental Systems Division, Argonne National Laboratory, prepared for the U.S. Department of Energy, DOE/ER-0051 (January 1980).
  • Progress Report on the Development of Customer Value of Electrical Service Reliability Functions, M. E. Samsa, Energy and Environmental Systems Division, Argonne National Laboratory, Internal Document (September 1978).
  • Electrical Service Reliability:  The Customer Perspective, M. E. Samsa, K. A. Hub, G. C. Krohm, Energy and Environmental Systems Division, Argonne National Laboratory, ANL/AA-18 (September 1978).
  • INSITE Information System Data Report, C. C. Huber, M. J. Jusko, C. D. Livengood, M. E. Samsa, T. D. Wolsko, Energy and Environmental Systems Division, Argonne National Laboratory, ANL/EES-TM-2, prepared for the U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission, NUREG/CR-0149 (July 1978).